Table 6 Forecast of consumer rice price January to December 2023 (Rp/kg)

2023	Forecast	UCL	LCL
JAN	11,482.67	11,607.78	11,357.56
FEB	11,483.74	11,706.35	11,261.13
MAR	11,399.15	11,698.75	11,099.56
APR	11,328.94	11,671.66	10,986.22
MAY	11,270.66	11,640.18	10,901.14
JUN	11,222.68	11,609.18	10,835.38
JUL	11,182.12	11,580.56	10,783.68
AUG	11,148.79	11,554.99	10,742.59
SEP	11,121.12	11,532.58	10,709.65
OCT	11,098.15	11,513.20	10,683.10
NOV	11,079.08	11,496.58	10,661.58
DEC	11,063.26	11,482.44	10,644.07

Source: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA).
Note: UCL, Upper Control Limit; LCL, Lower Control Limit.